After the Helsinki Summit, Trump Threatens Iran in ALL CAPS tweet

After the Helsinki Summit, Trump Threatens Iran in ALL CAPS tweet

A week has passed since the Trump-Putin summit, and a RogueMoney reader asked me for my thoughts on the outcome. Rather than give the stock answer of ‘it’s too soon to say’, I thought I’d do what analysts do and emphasize the knowns, then contrast those with the greater part that remain ‘known unknowns’ in the ongoing negotiations to defuse Cold War II (or more accurately, to revive the USA’s geoeconomic fortunes because Kissingerian realists in Washington realized by 2016 fighting Russia, China and Iran all at once while dominating the EU, Japan and the Koreas was no longer feasible). The problem with this traditional analytical framework including labels like ‘realism’ vs. neo-conservativism, is that Trump defies easy characterization.

On the one hand, Trump appears to sincerely want to improve U.S.-Russia relations because he has taken more heat for this than any other aspect of his platform, culminating in this week’s insane allegations that he has committed ‘treason’ by questioning the ‘intelligence community’ finding that Russia interfered in the 2016 elections in support of his candidacy. On the other hand, on Sunday night Trump escalated his anti-Iran rhetoric, hours after Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) delivered a speech in southern California calling for a 1980s Reaganesque policy of rollback against the Islamic Republic.

Screen shot from: Russia’s Vesti News/First Channel

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The Other Mideast War: Saudi/UAE Siege of Hodeidah Fails, Houthis Step Up Attacks Inside the Kingdom

The Other Mideast War: Saudi/UAE Siege of Hodeidah Fails, Houthis Step Up Attacks Inside the Kingdom

With the global media’s eyes will be fixed Monday on the summit between Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump at Helsinki, Finland, Syria is expected to be the main topic of negotiations between the world’s two leading military powers. Israeli media in particular have extensively covered a prospective bargain between Putin and Trump, whereby invited Iranian forces withdraw from Syria in return for the U.S. pulling its troops out of its uninvited and thereby illegal under international law bases east of the Euphrates River. Some Israelis, affiliated with the neocons, having bitterly denounced Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for allegedly placing naive trust in Putin’s word, while foreign policy realists have pointed out the Russian leader cannot make the Iranians leave Syria — even if he wanted to do so.

However, as RogueMoney readers are aware, there is another conflict besides the proxy war with Iran in Syria, that petrodollar linchpin Saudi Arabia has been losing since 2015. This one is much closer to home and therefore more dangerous to the Saudi monarchy than losing influence in the Levant. The defection of a prince from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to Qatar, Riyadh’s gas-rich Sunni rival, has shined a spotlight on the Emiratis casualties in the Yemen War, and serious dissension inside the Emirates ruling houses regarding the Saudi-led coalition’s quagmire.

Since the Saudis broke off diplomatic relations with Doha in June 2017, Qatar’s Al-Jazeera channel has relentlessly covered the staggering humanitarian costs of the Saudis war on Yemen, as well as the Kingdom’s covered up combat deaths which Western media outlets, fearing expulsion from the country, fail to cover. On Sunday, Putin handed Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani a ceremonial FIFA soccer ball symbolizing Qatar’s 2022 hosting of the World Cup.

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China appears to be setting up Dubai to be the gateway to both Europe and Africa along their new Silk Road

China appears to be setting up Dubai to be the gateway to both Europe and Africa along their new Silk Road

While there are countless theories as to why President Trump has helped plunge the world into a global trade war at this time, it has not stopped China from continuing their quest to rebuild the old Silk Road here in modern times.

And not unlike the Silk Road of the past, where trade was conducted freely at ports, cities, and even outposts all along a route that encompassed thousands of miles, China's new version is very similar in that they are working towards bypassing bureaucratic authorities over trade (WTO, reserve currency use, sovereign regulation) and bringing a return to a time when nations set trade agreements based on each other's respective needs, and in their own currencies.

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Syraq SITREP 60: Putin and Trump Plan Syria Talks at Helsinki Summit, Neocons Claim Kremlin and Iran Plotting Attacks on U.S. Troops

Syraq SITREP 60: Putin and Trump Plan Syria Talks at Helsinki Summit, Neocons Claim Kremlin and Iran Plotting Attacks on U.S. Troops

The Syrian Arab Army is achieving rapid advances as part of Operation Basalt. Many ‘Free Syrian Army’ militants are surrendering without a fight, and a few have joined in the pro-government forces offensive against the Al-Qaeda linked jihadists. According to CNN, President Trump told King Abdullah during their meeting last week in Washington that he intends to strike a deal with Russian President Vladimir V. Putin to facilitate the withdrawal of American troops from the Al Tanf area bordering Jordan and Iraq. U.S. backed Kurdish fighters recently clashed with pro-government militias near the extensive deconfliction line the Americans enforce around their illegal under international law base. The Russian Defense Ministry has complained the Americans use al-Tanf to harbor and re-train former ISIS terrorists.

Naturally, The Wall Street Journal’s editorial board and reporters are disturbed, while the neocons are enraged that Trump would make any concessions to the Russians. But Trump reportedly intends to demand — in return for a phased American withdrawal — the complete exit of Iranian, Hezbollah and pro-Iranian Shi’a foreign fighters from Syria. Even with the great prestige Russia enjoys among its Syrian allies and frenemies in the Turks alike, it isn’t clear Putin can deliver on this demand. Damascus has hosted at least a few Iranian military advisers since the early 1980s.

Also, the prospect of a false flag operation, either against U.S. troops or a chemical attack on Syrian civilians to be blamed on Assad, is not to be taken lightly. If the globalists cannot stop the Trump-Putin summit now set for July 16 in the Finnish capital Helsinki, the neocons appear hellbent on spoiling or blocking any positive outcomes from it…

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‘Stop Genocide: Peace and Development for Yemen!’

‘Stop Genocide: Peace and Development for Yemen!’

The battle for Hodeidah has reached a critical phase this week, as outnumbered Houthi defenders of the city are inflicting heavy losses on Saudi and UAE troops and southern Yemeni mercenaries. Most importantly, the Red Sea port represents a vital lifeline to the world for humanitarian aid to reach Houthi controlled areas including the capital Sanaa, the highway to which has been almost cut off by Saudi/UAE coalition attacks and air strikes. The fighting must stop so vital supplies, food and medicines can reach starving Yemenis.

From the start of the Yemen War in 2015, the LaRouche Movement and International Schiller Institute have advocated for an immediate end to the hostilities followed by a major reconstruction program to integrate the poorest nation in the Arab world and its neighbors into the Maritime and New Silk Roads.

Team RogueMoney is honored to assist these peace promotion efforts in every way possible. — JWS

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Houthis Claim to Have Captured French Special Forces Joining in Saudi/UAE Attack on Yemen's Red Sea Port of Hudaydah

Houthis Claim to Have Captured French Special Forces Joining in Saudi/UAE Attack on Yemen's Red Sea Port of Hudaydah

Al-Hudaydah also known in English as Hodeda, Hodeida, Hudaida or Hodeidah, is a port on the Red Sea and starving Yemen’s humanitarian lifeline to the world. It is also alleged to be a major conduit for Iranian missiles and ammunition to reach the Ansarallah or Houthis, the Zaidi Shi’a resistance that rules the capitol of Sana'a. The Ansarallah are fierce qat-chewing desert warriors, whose conservative Zaidi or ‘fiver’ branch of Shi’a Islam differs considerably from that of their Lebanese Hezbollah allies or the ‘twelver’ Shi’a practiced by their supposed puppetmasters in Iran. Nonetheless they have adapted the Iranian clerical regime’s revolutionary slogans of ‘Allah is great, death to America, death to Israel, victory for Islam’ adding to their slogan ‘a curse upon the Jews’.

For three years, the Houthis have waged an effective guerrilla war, inflicting thousands of casualties on Saudi Arabia’s lavishly funded and incompetent military since the Kingdom invaded its impoverished neighbor in 2015. If you believe that the petrodollar is the key to America’s ability to finance its massive deficits, then the Houthis are to the Anglo-American empire what the Afghan mujaheddin were to the late Soviet Empire — harbingers of its defeat and collapse.

Photo: Destroyed UAE MRAPs in Yemen

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Syraq SITREP 55: IAF Strikes Hezbollah Shi'a Foreign Fighters Training Base as US Warns Damascus Against Liberating Southwestern Territory Close to Jordan and Israel

Syraq SITREP 55: IAF Strikes Hezbollah Shi'a Foreign Fighters Training Base as US Warns Damascus Against Liberating Southwestern Territory Close to Jordan and Israel

On Thursday May 24, Israeli warplanes launched standoff missiles, reportedly killing twelve pro-government foreign fighters stationed between the towns of Boukamal and Hmeimeh in Deir el-Zour province. Syrian media initially blamed the U.S. for the air strike, raising fears that pro-Damascus forces were again clashing with the American backed Kurds in the Euphrates Valley as during the notorious (and wildly inflated Russian ‘Wagner mercenary’ casualties) battle of the Conoco gas field on February 6-7, 2018. But the Coalition denied Syrian and Hezbollah media reports of its involvement and the Russians clarified that no American units were involved.

The most likely explanation for the confusion is that Israeli Air Force (IAF) F15I jets were once again using U.S. transponder signals, which only the Russians would be able to distinguish on radar from U.S. Air Force F15Es. ISIS had been carrying out hit and run attacks in the Homs desert on the same day and the following days, drawing SAA reinforcements to the area.

Days after the IAF had boasted of using the stealthy F35 Adir in combat for the first time, Dabaa airbase in Homs province, no longer used by the Syrian Arab Air Force but known as a training ground for Hezbollah and its Iranian allied Iraqi/Afghan Shi’a fighters, was also hit by a several missiles. Syrian air defense forces claim to have shot down some of the incoming projectiles, and video was posted online of Syria’s old S200 SAMs firing into the night skies. After Damascus victoriously ended seven years of fighting in and around the Syrian capital, the Trump Administration warned the Syrians not to advance on the deescalation zone in Deraa, the ‘cradle of the revolution’ where jihadists are still providing Israel with a small buffer zone.

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U.S. Troops Directly Involved on Ground in Saudis Losing War in Yemen

U.S. Troops Directly Involved on Ground in Saudis Losing War in Yemen

Last week The New York Times confirmed what those of us in the alternative or new media already knew: that American troops have engaged in combat missions against the Ansar Allah or Houthis resistance in Yemen. “God is great, death to the US, death to Israel, curse the Jews, and victory for Islam" is the Houthis battlefield slogan, heard in countless videos posted online of the Zaidi Shi’a militants destroying Saudi armor and block posts.

Direct contributions to a humanitarian catastrophe in what was already before this war the poorest country in the Arab world, have undermined Washington and London’s claims to hold the moral high ground over the Assad government in Syria. The British government is facing a lawsuit from the Campaign Against the Arms Trade (CAAT) over its deep involvement not just in providing but servicing arms at Saudi air bases. The threat to Saudi bases and the Anglo-American contractors working at them from the Houthis increasingly sophisticated drones and ballistic missile bombardments is leading the Trump Administration to provide American troops in a direct combat role. According to the NYT, the Houthis underground missile storage and production facilities are the highest priority target for special operations raids. But what happens when the Houthis who’ve certainly watched Black Hawk Down set a trap using dummy inflatable rockets as bait? Or how will the Trump Administration respond if Iran takes vengeance for its personnel bombed by Israel in Syria by helping the Houthis launch suicide boat or infiltrator attacks against American and UAE forces based at Socotra Island, near the strategic Bab al Mandeb strait?

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Syraq SITREP 49: Douma Chemical Attack Case Falling Apart, Israeli Threats Against Damascus, and U.S. Demanding Turkey Drop S400 Purchase

Syraq SITREP 49: Douma Chemical Attack Case Falling Apart, Israeli Threats Against Damascus, and U.S. Demanding Turkey Drop S400 Purchase

Israel allegedly followed up on last week's barrage of U.S.-British and French cruise missiles fired against the Syrian government. However the Israeli Air Force (IAF) attack on a base near Homs supposedly targeting Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) personnel was said to use non-kinetic electronic warfare. Syrian commanders blamed the Israelis use of jamming from jets flying over Lebanon for making their country's air defense operators shoot off missiles, while being fooled into thinking that they were under attack. Perhaps envious of the Russian 'off switch' that may have taken down a large number of the missiles fired by the Anglo-Americans (at least two intact 'smart' missiles have reportedly been transferred from the Syrians to the Russians according to TASS) on the night of April 13-14, the Israelis may have wanted to demonstrate that they too, can pack an electronic punch.

Israeli evaluations leaked to the press of the President Trump-ordered air strikes were that they represented a 'failure', because only three Syrian sites were destroyed. The American missiles missed the alleged chemical weapons the Assad government allegedly hid or produced since surrendering its CW arsenal to international inspectors in 2013-14. The logical follow up question then, with Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) multinational representatives on the ground in Damascus and headed for the nearby town of Douma to investigate an alleged gas attack, is why Washington and Tel Aviv do not immediately direct inspectors to sites where their intelligence services believe the Syrians are hiding toxic weaponry? As retired Army Col. DIA analyst Pat Lang noted about his time providing intel to UNSCOM, when Saddam Hussein remained in power after Iraq's crushing defeat in the 1991 Gulf War, UN inspectors were directed by American intelligence to chemical and biological weapons production sites, where WMD materials were found and peacefully dismantled. Of course, we don't see such referrals using intel from CIA and Mossad, because the alleged Syrian chemical arsenal is being used as a pretext for American and Israeli strikes on an ally of Russia and above all, Iran. What's clear is that there were no chemical weapons stored or produced at the three sites U.S.-UK missiles flattened (while France had an alleged failure to launch its weaponry). Otherwise the Syrian clean up crews and photojournalists who filmed the rubble would've shown symptoms of exposure. It's also evident that the Americans and British are increasingly nervous that their story about the evil Assad gassing children in Douma which was used to justify the missile strikes is falling apart, despite the legacy media’s propaganda.

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Ukrainian Rockets' (North Korean) Red Glare

Ukrainian Rockets' (North Korean) Red Glare

Hours after we published a RogueMoney article on the U.S./NATO buildup against Russia in and around Ukraine, The New York Times reported that the Ukrainian rocket engines firm Yuzhmash illicitly shipped powerful boosters to North Korea. These engines originally designed in the Soviet Union for ICBMs like the SS-18 'Satan' are said to account for North Korea's major leap in missile range achieved in recent tests. Yuzhmash is of course, like many other Soviet legacy Ukrainian industries, facing ruin due to the cutoff of trade with Russia since 2014.

With the recently passed UN Security Council (UNSC) sanctions supported by Russia and China potentially opening the door to sanctioning any nation that proliferates nuclear or missile technology to Pyongyang, not suprisingly Yuzhmash and the U.S.-backed Kiev government are denying everything. But the story is coming at a difficult time for Kiev, as a growing number of Americans ask why neo-Nazi and torchlight marches chanting 'blood and soil' are unacceptable in Charlottesville, Virginia but sponsored by the American taxpayer and Arizona U.S. Sen. John McCain via funding for the Ukrainian National Guard's SS rune flag waving Azov Battalion... 

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Chinese Leverage to Kill the Petrodollar by Dr. Jim Willie the Golden Jackass

Chinese Leverage to Kill the Petrodollar by Dr. Jim Willie the Golden Jackass

Legacy media are full of reports about infighting on President Donald Trump's National Security Council, with White House NatSec Adviser Gen. H.R. McMaster reportedly purging individuals brought in by his predecessor former Defense Intelligence Agency chief Michael T. Flynn. In addition to the U.S. occupation in Afghanistan going on 17 years, the President is unhappy about the inability of the NSC to stop leaking by the minute or produce any strategies for 'winning' in the Middle East.

As RogueMoney's mentor W the Intel Insider and contributors and the Russian Analyst have all reported, Saudi Arabia is bogged down in a disastrous war with its poorest neighbor, Yemen. Neocons avoid the subject of Saudi losses because they don't want the ignorant legacy media to know that the proxy wars they promoted can cut both ways. For Iran, the conflict presents an opportunity to avenge the deaths of Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps in Syria by helping arm the Houthis -- who are killing dozens of Saudi soldiers and border guards every week -- all without evidence of a single IRGC man setting foot in Yemen in two years of guerrilla warfare.

The hidden purpose of the 2015 Saudi intervention according to RM contributors The Prince and London Paul was to seize untapped Yemeni oil and gas reserves to make up for the Kingdom's depleted supergiant fields like Ghawar, as well as elbow aside rival United Arab Emirates (UAE) in the strategic Aden area at the mouth of the Red Sea, which is the gateway to the Suez Canal and China's Maritime Silk Road (the PRC recently boasting about its 'anti-piracy' base in nearby Djibouti). As W the Intelligence Insider reports the Yemen War is all about keeping the Saudis on board with the petrodollar deal hammered out by Rockefeller agent Henry Kissinger in the early 1970s, but defeats at the hands of the Yemenis as well as by proxy in Syria are forcing the desperate Saudi princes to turn east for regime survival... -- JWS

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While Trump Visits Saudi Arabia, Houthis Continue Attacks on Saudi Forces

While Trump Visits Saudi Arabia, Houthis Continue Attacks on Saudi Forces

On Sunday President Donald J. Trump gave a historic speech in front of his Saudi and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) hosts, declaring that the U.S. was not against Islam nor seeking to impose the American values on other nations, while calling on Muslims to unite against the scourge of terrorism. While the legacy media focused on Trump, first lady Melania’s demure non-form fitting black pantsuit or lack of a headscarve, or the massive arms and infrastructure deals announced with the pomp and ceremony of a bigly visit to Riyadh, numerous issues lurked behind the scenes. Including questions of persistent low oil prices drastically curtailing the Saudis ambitions to reinvent their country’s hydrocarbon based economy and the obsession with rival Iran fueling a military quagmire in Yemen.

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Sorry liberals, but most Arab Americans and Muslim majority states don't care about Trump's new immigration ban

Perhaps the biggest irony regarding last weekend's Executive Order signed by President Trump in which he ordered a temporary ban on incoming visitors and refugees from certain Middle Eastern states, was that the majority of protesting and outrage came from people who actually have no skin in the game when it comes to the vetting of foreign individuals.

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Yemen: USS Maddox, Er, USS Mason -- Did Yemenis Really Fire Missiles at the US Navy? Plus Diego Garcia Rumors

Yemen: USS Maddox, Er, USS Mason -- Did Yemenis Really Fire Missiles at the US Navy? Plus Diego Garcia Rumors

While President Barack Hussein Obama convened a 'war cabinet' to discuss the fading prospect of the lame duck Commander in Chief ordering strikes against Russian-defended Assad government troops on Friday, Vice President Joe Biden (father to the 'ex' cocaine addict Burisma Holdings in Ukraine executive Hunter Biden) and the CIA declared a cyberwar against Russia in the press. The U.S. Department of Defense meanwhile, launched Tomahawk cruise missiles with Obama's authorization at alleged Yemeni radar sites that were used in missile attacks against a UAE military transport and the guided missile destroyer, the USS Mason.

The only problem with the stated rationale for now direct U.S. intervention in Yemen? The Saleh loyalist Yemenis and the Houthis insist the attempted missile strikes on the USS Mason never happened, and the Americans made the incident up to justify intervening on behalf of their failing Saudi allies. Was the incident in which the Navy says at least two anti-ship missiles fell into the sea real, or was it a false flag/faked attack like the infamous 'North Vietnamese gun boat assaults on the USS Maddox' that led to 1964's Gulf of Tonkin resolution?

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After Turkey's Failed Putsch, Is Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed the Next in Line to Get Coup'd Over the Disastrous War in Yemen?

After Turkey's Failed Putsch, Is Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed the Next in Line to Get Coup'd Over the Disastrous War in Yemen?

Even if we set aside Washington's ongoing pants-ing at the hands of the despotic neo-Ottoman Sultan who accuses the Americans of being behind Friday's coup, or ignore the fact that D.C.'s 'moderate rebel' proxies are being crushed in east Aleppo, there's another turd in the Mideast hummus bowl as the Guerrilla Economist would say: Yemen. Namely, Saudi Arabia's losing war against Saleh loyalist and Houthi tribesmen that has gone beyond a mere debacle to become a potentially existential threat to the continued reign if not survival of certain haughty princes, led by the 31-year-old Mohammad bin Salman Al Saud.

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#Race4Euphrates and France Bombing Raqqa; Did The Economist's 'World in 2015' Cover Foretell 311 Days from #CharlieHebdo to #ParisAttacks?

#Race4Euphrates and France Bombing Raqqa; Did The Economist's 'World in 2015' Cover Foretell 311 Days from #CharlieHebdo to #ParisAttacks?

As Washington's hopes of toppling the Syrian government of Bashir al-Assad have faded with Russian intervention, the spin after Friday's wave of terrorist attacks in Paris is depressingly predictable. Leave it to the neocon Daily Beast to be the first to call for a U.S.-led French/NATO march on Raqqa. The neocons at the Daily Beast certainly won't be the last mainstream media outlet to insist the only solution to the Islamic State threat is now an all out invasion of ISIS territory, as failing GOP presidential candidate and ex-Florida Governor Jeb Bush also wants a U.S. invasion of ISIS-held Syria, followed by arming the so-called 'Free Syrian Army' to take out Assad:

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Jaw, Jaw AND War: Russia in Talks with U.S., Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey; Iraqis Agree to Russian Air Strikes on Border with Syria

Sir Winston Churchill famously said jaw jaw is better than war war. What we see in the Middle East today is both jawing and warring -- an escalation in multiple theaters of proxy war at the same time as negotiations on the region's future, from Syria to Iraq to Yemen and far beyond.Reuters Lies, Claims Russia Declared It Would Only Target the Islamic State

The City of London/British government propaganda wire Reuters reported on October 23, "Kerry Sees New Syria Talks Next Week, Does Not Rule Out Iran Role":

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said on Friday he expects new talks on Syria to begin as soon as next week, and did not rule out participation by Iran, President Bashar al-Assad's closest ally, which has been kept away from past peace conferences.

Along with counterparts from allies Saudi Arabia and Turkey, Kerry met for two hours on Friday in Vienna with Sergei Lavrov, foreign minister of Russia, which has transformed momentum in the 4-year-old Syrian civil war by bombing Assad's enemies.

So far all diplomatic efforts to end the conflict have foundered over the demand by the United States, European countries, Arab states and Turkey that Assad leave power as a pre-condition for peace, which he refuses to consider.

[embed]https://twitter.com/RT_com/status/657498626172833792[/embed]

[embed]https://twitter.com/PressTV/status/657756523280642048[/embed]

The Reuters article goes on to state that, "Russia describes all its bombing targets as belonging to Islamic State." which is a flat out lie. At no point did the Russians explicitly state they were only targeting ISIS, in fact the Russian Defense Ministry's social media accounts and press releases have mentioned the Al-Qaeda in Syria faction Jubhat al-Nusra on multiple occasions. All one needs to do is click on the @MoD_Russia Twitter feed and scroll down.

[embed]https://twitter.com/mod_russia/status/657281823093952513[/embed]

It is such silly abuses of journalistic integrity in the service of US/NATO propaganda that have lowered Reuters in my eyes these past eighteen months -- including the wire service's predilection for reporting whatever alleged military gains or Russian military incursions the Ukrainian Defense Ministry announced in the Donbass war as fact, without visual evidence to back up their reports. But hey, when you're reporting that Russian cruise missiles crashed in Iran hundreds of miles from their targets, or tweeting about a half dozen or so downed Russian Hind gunships and Russian servicemen killed or wounded all over Latakia region, who needs visual evidence? And if Fox News and the neocon hipsters at The Daily Beast insist Cuban troops are fighting for Assad now, it must be true, right Sen. Ted Cruz?

Skipping the Propaganda of Both Sides, and Reading Between the Lines -- Russia and the Iranians are Increasing the Pressure on Turkey, Saudi Arabia to Cut Off their Syrian Jihadi Proxies

Were it not for the degraded and failing state of U.S. propaganda, as well as the looming death of the petrodollar underlying the mainstream media, Secretary of State John F. Kerry would not be bowing to Russian demands that Iran participate in the negotiations. And make no mistake, Vladimir Putin is under no illusions that Assad can permanently secure a Syrian ally for Russia from Western and Gulf Cooperation Council sponsored proxy war unless there are Sunni interlocutors willing to make their coreligionist proxies listen. To that end, we have seen Putin in intensive telephone conversations with Washington and London's man in the Middle East, King Abdullah of Jordan, as well as with the Saudis and Turks. The contents of those calls are unknown to us (though probably not the NSA/GCHQ on the non-encrypted Middle Eastern leaders' lines).

However, with Vladimir Vladimirovich knowing full well that the details of the call will be either listened to by or conveyed to the U.S. government, it's a safe bet that Putin is trying to persuade Ankara and Riyadh that their strategies to overthrow Assad through arming and funding jihadist 'rebels' have failed miserably. And that the only logical move to secure their own regime and economic stability is through making peace in Syria. The alternative, the continuation of the Sunni-Salafi jihadists fight to the bitter end, will only result in more refugees, casualties, and the socio-economic exhaustion of all participants. Such an outcome -- fighting Assad and Iran to the last Syrian Sunni willing to die -- may be attractive to Washington. The core conceit of whose strategists has been that the supply of Sunni cannon fodder for fighting Assad and by extension Iran in Syria was essentially limitless. But it is clearly not in the interests of Turkey or Saudi Arabia, if only because both parties to the conflict fear being richly repaid in their own coin: proxy war.

Hou-thi Wants a Long Proxy War? Or Why the Saudis Have Oh So Much to Lose

[embed]https://twitter.com/BaFana3/status/657547026821988352[/embed]

As we've pointed out many times here at RogueMoney and on the Guerrilla Radio broadcasts, the Turks have to worry about the Kurds, and the Saudis are already bogged down in a bloody war with the Houthi and allied Yemeni tribes they cannot win. Moreover, the ill-conceived war is not staying in Yemen, but spilling over into the Kingdom's southern regions, while bleeding Riyadh's finances are hemorrhaging red ink thanks to the Saudis' own 'war on shale'. The Saudis may be able to hire Sudanese and Colombian mercenaries to fight in Yemen as their own coddled soldiers try to avoid contact with the Yemeni militants, but mercenaries throughout history have famously proven reluctant to die for their employers.

[embed]https://twitter.com/BaFana3/status/657498043693080576[/embed]

Fighting or guarding narco traffickers was so much easier than this s--t: Colombian mercenaries reportedly deploy to KSA's Yemen war

https://twitter.com/metesohtaoglu/status/657278758546755585

Not to worry about those Houthis blowing up tanker trucks and armored cars of the Saudi Army -- the Sudanese will soon sort them out...

https://twitter.com/BaFana3/status/657342699922681856

And more Yemeni tribes 'rising up' as Dave from the X22 Report says, to kick some Saudi butt

[embed]https://twitter.com/TheArabSource/status/657401946509152256[/embed]

https://twitter.com/BaFana3/status/656916872764506112

Talk about hedging bets, and sending a message to the Saudis: Russian Foreign Ministry welcomes Yemeni/Houthi delegation to Moscow

[embed]https://twitter.com/BaFana3/status/657271704977281028[/embed]

Furthermore, any MANPADs and TOWs sent to Saudi financed jihadists in Syria to 'kill Russians' can be massively repaid in kind with the Houthis getting Iglas and Kornets with which to attack Saudi tankers and pilots. As we said in our last RM post on the Syria war, the coastline of Yemen is long, rocky, and easily accessible via 'cigarette boats' the Saudi/UAE flotilla would have a hard time stopping from making nighttime gun runs from Oman or even across the Bab-al-Mandeb strait from Africa. All it takes is sufficient quantities of money, weapons, and fast boats -- three things we know Iran has in spades -- to dispense with slower and easier to bomb overland re-supply of the Houthis. We sincerely hope CIA Director John Brennan, himself a Sunni Muslim convert during his days as Riyadh station chief and reportedly very close to the Saudi royals, comprehends that container ships and warehouses full of freshly delivered U.S. arms for Syrian jihadis could blow up anytime -- with some Shi'a militant group nobody's heard of taking responsible for the handiwork of Iranian or Russian spetsnaz teams. That is the message Putin is subtly conveying by hosting Houthis in Moscow.

We should also note here, as we did on Friday, that after the Qataris threatened Damascus with air strikes and direct military intervention in support of their jihadis inside Syria, a Lebanese politician tweeted out that Doha would be shelled in retaliation for such foolishness. And while the mainstream media continues to cover rumblings of discontent and palace coups inside the Saudi Kingdom, the British and American tabloids are having a field day with the psychotic, fart-in-face-fetish prince of Beverly Hills. Given how much the Kingdom pays for publicity and public relations every year -- in the hundreds of milllions if not billions if you include bribing Western politicians -- we'd have to say the ranking royals haven't been this unhappy about the Saudi brand since 15 of the 19 9/11 hijackers turned out to have had Saudi passports.

All of this bad press is popping before the Kingdom starts getting hit with truthbombs that break through the mainstream media barriers regarding its sponsorship of Al-Nusra and ISIS. No, if DCI Brennan thinks he can re-live the 1980s glory days with the Saudis of a smoothly running proxy war against the Russians, he and other U.S./UK 'Deep Staters' are bound to find just how brittle is the medieval Saudi monarchy in 2016-17. Putin and the Iranians are more than capable of seeing to that -- and we detect the hand of Gen. Qasem Soleimani in the stepped up Houthi/Yemeni attacks on Saudi positions this past week.

Jordan's Agreement to Coordinate Air Missions Over Syria with Moscow a Clear Sign U.S. Mideast Coalition Cracking -- and the Jordanians May Become the Key Go-Between for Assad to Make Peace with Non-ISIS/Al-Nusra Sunni Groups

https://twitter.com/IraqiSuryani1/status/657585895168692224

Returning to the subject of this post, the diplomatic windows opened by Russia's bold military move in Syria, we see that Russia and Jordan are establishing a joint coordination center in Amman. RT reports:

Russia and Jordan agreed to create a coordination center in Amman, which will be used by the two countries to share information on the counter-terrorism operations, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said.

Russia is already in touch with Iran, Iraq and Syria through a Baghdad-based center used for the same purpose.

Lavrov said Jordan would play a positive part in finding a political solution to the Syrian conflict through negotiations between Damascus and opposition forces, an outcome that Russia itself is pursuing.

“Under an agreement between His Majesty King Abdullah II and Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, the militaries of the two countries have agreed to coordinate their actions, including military aircraft missions over the Syrian territory,” Lavrov said. His Jordanian counterpart Nasser Judeh said the center would serve as an efficient communication tool for the militaries of the two nations.

While 'de-confliction' like what the U.S. and Russian militaries are trying to establish and the hotline between the Russians and Israelis was set up to ensure is the stated purpose of this 'center', we believe there's a much larger game afoot. Given that the Saudis are one of the largest if not the biggest investors in the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan which acts as the geographic and (until recently, before direct sharing between Mossad and KSA) intelligence go-between Israel and Saudi Arabia..it's highly unlikely King Abdullah would take these steps towards Moscow without Riyadh's tacit or explicit consent. What that means in practical terms is that the Jordanians are setting themselves up to be the intermediaries between the Russians, Assad and Iran on one side, and the non-terrorist 'moderate' opposition to Assad (if the 'Free Syrian Army' actually exists) on the other side of the table.

[embed]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MlpD08i24pI[/embed]

As we wrote prior to the start of Russian military action in Syria on September 7, Putin's end game would never be to kill or drive out all of Assad's armed opponents. The mighty Soviet Union might not have been able to accomplish that, and the more modern but much smaller Russian military cannot and won't do it either. Instead, Russia is leveraging force in an incredibly bold bid to end the Saudi-Iran proxy wars that together with American interventions and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict have ravaged the Middle East for years, and restore some semblance of order to the region. An order that may include Egyptian peacekeepers accompanied by Jordanian observers entering the Sunni parts of Syria to establish a buffer zone between the rebellious and pro-government areas of the country -- but only AFTER Russia, the SAA and Iran have mopped the floor with the jihadists.

[embed]https://twitter.com/Ibra_Joudeh/status/657591961688383488[/embed]

[embed]https://twitter.com/mod_russia/status/657281682190508033[/embed]

[embed]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J8zjxO1UtWA[/embed]

Putin is 'All In' for Everything But Ground Troops to Get the Job Done in Syria -- While Washington is Struggling to Respond

Blogger Elijah J. Magnier (not certain if that's his real name or a pseudonym), describes himself as a "Senior Political Risk Analyst with over 32 years’ experience covering Europe & the Middle East. Acquiring in-depth experience, robust contacts and political knowledge in Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, Libya, Sudan and Syria". He wrote a post this week based on what he says is a source close to the Assad government. In the article published Thursday, "What Putin and Assad discussed during their meeting in Moscow?" he wrote the following:

According to the source “President Putin offered himself as the guarantor to fight and defeat terrorism in Syria as a first priority. It was also agreed between the two Presidents that the political process is a necessity after the elimination of more than twenty to thirty thousand foreign fighting in the ranks of the “Islamic State” group (ISIS) and al-Qaeda in the Levant (Jabhat Al-Nusra Front). Mr. Assad expressed to Mr. Putin his readiness to engage in a political process and reform the existing law, giving guarantees and powers to those within the Syrian opposition but without any link to Salafi – jihadist, including those who are participating and currently engaged in the war in Syria”.

” The early departure of President Assad is not conceivable for both Russia and Syria. Neither side has mentioned this topic. Nonetheless, the Syrian President expressed to his counterpart his readiness for an early election to ensure a place for all, after proposing an amendment of the Constitution. By then, all Syrian armed organisations, which have disengaged from al Qaeda and ISIS, have returned under the roof of the Syrian state with the guarantee of Russia. Mr. Putin will present this offer to the regional countries engaged in financing the war in Syria, knowingly that Russia will continue supporting the ongoing military campaign to put an end to the control of the rural areas of Latakia, Aleppo, Hama, Idlib and Daraa”, confirmed the source.

That this Russian-Chinese led new order for the Middle East will leave the U.S. Empire and possibly Turkey and Israel as the biggest losers is understood by the Washington Establishment. That's why Jeb Bush was rambling on Fox News this past week about not letting the "USSR" (clearly meaning Russia) expand its influence into Syria.

Elijah J. also makes it clear that any attacks on Russian jets using surface to air missiles supplied by Saudi Arabia, Qatar or Turkey would be treated as an attack by these countries on Russia itself, and would face proportionate retaliation (all emphasis added by us):

“Mr. Putin is aware of every detail of the situation in Syria and the strength and the equipment provided to the Syrian rebels. He explained that Russia has used intercontinental cruise missiles to show to all players with proxies fighting on the ground in Syria its determination to target any regional country providing extremists with anti-air missiles (MANPADs) that can damage or shoot down any Russian jet.Any country that supports terrorists exposing Russian jets at risk would be a legitimate target to Russia.

War is one of the tools that serve the political track and that the struggle between Iran and Saudi Arabia and between the United States and Russia conflict are based on competing interests and influence in the region...the United States’ foreign policy and involvement is in a significant decline “, said the source.

[embed]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6MT02OQDaDI[/embed]

American decline: A senior moment for Jeb Bush, going Back to the Future 1985 on Fox News viewers by describing Russia as 'the Soviet Union'

The Syrian Arab Army Advances on the Golan Heights Front -- Due to Israel Being Forced to Ditch the Al-Nusras or Get Truth Bombed and Have Some of its 'Invincible' Air Force Get Shot Down?

We wanted to reiterate here our statements on the Friday, October 16 Guerrilla Radio report with special guest 'W' the Intelligence Insider. Towards the halfway mark of the first hour we mentioned signs that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had been told by Vladimir Putin to stand down his military from attacks on the Syrian Golan Heights, and the advances the SAA and Syrian National Self-Defense Force guardsmen were making there are fairly strong evidence Bibi has backed off. So is last week's report by Israel's YNet media source that Russian jets informed Israeli reconnaissance flights not to violate Lebanese or Syrian air space near Lebanon's border. But the best proof by far are the pictures posted on pro-SAA social media accounts showing SAA/NDF fighters triumphantly advancing to within a stone's throw of the Israeli Golani Brigade's observation posts (one of which we visited back in the early 2000s, looking down on Syria from an Israeli-held hilltop popular with tourists and visiting Congressional junkets from Washington).

[embed]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o5chv9G7pU4[/embed]

Take a good look at the pictures below. Not a single IAF F-16 or F-15 in the skies above. The IDF's howitzers which once shelled the SAA on the pretext of being fired upon but in actuality to support the jihadists -- are silent:

https://twitter.com/TheArabSource/status/657762866817163264

[embed]https://twitter.com/Real_Syrian_Rev/status/657843039696633856[/embed]

[embed]https://twitter.com/IvanSidorenko1/status/657829938267975680[/embed]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=65iYQhOQqTM

Netanyahu's clearly got his own problems now...without getting Israel further involved in the Syria mess

[embed]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P3OdL4o6JrM[/embed]

Another Sign the U.S. Position in the Mideast is Crumbling -- Iraqi Parliamentarians Pressure PM to Invite in Russian Bombers After , While U.S. Sends Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman to 'Persuade' Iraqis to Stick with Uncle Sam or Else

Besides U.S. regional allies like Jordan turning to Moscow and others like Israel and Saudi Arabia being forced to grudgingly acknowledge the new balance of power for lack of alternatives, there's another sign that Washington is rapidly losing control of the Mideast. And this is a development the Hillary Clintons, Jeb Bushes and McInsanes crying for a 'no fly zone' or other foolish attempts to save face in Syria cannot remedy: a growing number of Iraqi parliamentarians want to invite the Russians to bomb the Islamic State in their country.

The Iraqi PM Haider al-Abadi has vocally complained to France24 TV and other Western media outlets that Washington's air campaign against ISIS in support of Iraq's offensives has been grossly inadequate. Despite thousands of U.S. sorties since the start of the humorously named 'Operation Inherent Resolve', barely 20% of the American sorties against ISIS have involved dropping bombs. And the Russian sortie rate since the start Moscow's campaign, nearly all of which are bomb-dropping missions, has more than exceeded America's daily rate while not matching the total quantity of ordinance dropped. Moscow also, unlike the U.S., has the benefit of ground forces actually engaged with ISIS beyond the Kurds in the north, with the Syrian 'Cheetah' unit and other fighters converging on the Kuweires military airport northeast of Aleppo drawing fire from ISIS jihadists besieging the facility's perimeter. The Russians have been able to use Syrian units to draw out the Islamic State jihadists from their tunnels and other positions to make it easier for airpower and massed artillery to kill them.

All the same, looking over at Iraq and how long it took Baghdad's forces to take the oil refinery and city of Baiji on the highway to Mosul, progress has been painfully slow and the U.S. has clearly been reluctant to help Iranian-armed and financed Iraqis to crush the Islamic State with air strikes. Many Iraqis look at the U.S. refusal to provide effective air support and conclude that just maybe Washington doesn't really want to defeat ISIS so much at all.

BasjiOilInfrastructure

As German blogger Moon of Alabama reports:

Yesterday [October 20 - JWS] saw a huge defeat of the Islamic State but "western" media hardly noted it.

Iraqi Hashd militia and the Iraqi army defeated the Islamic State fighters in Baiji refinery and Baiji city. This was a big success:

Footage aired by the state-run TV showed Iraqi troops waving flags from rooftops in Baiji as thick black smoke billowed into the air. ... Baiji is the second most significant area recaptured in Salahuddin over the past months as pro-government forces retook the provincial capital of Tikrit in late March after weeks of clashes with the militants. The liberation of Baiji could be a prelude to Iraq’s highly-anticipated offensive into Mosul, which has served as the de-facto capital of Daesh in Iraq. The road from Baghdad to Mosul runs south to north through Balad, Samara, Tikrit and Baiji. Tikrit was liberated in March and the fight about the Baiji refinery and Baiji city had waged since. The victory now opens the road towards Mosul, Iraq's second biggest city and in the hand of the Islamic State.

The success can be attributed mostly to Iraqi militia supported by Iran. The 4+1 intelligence and operations room in Baghdad, where Iraq, Iran, Russia, Syria and Hizbullah as well as the Hashd coordinate their efforts, advised throughout the operation. The U.S. was not involved as it does not want to work with the Hashd militia and Iran.

When looking through the dailystrikereports of the U.S. lead operation Inherent Resolve one finds hardly any air strikes against IS forces around Baiji. The few that took place hit some IS "machine gun position" or "tactical fighting position". Hardly the effort that was needed to free the city. Indeed it took the Iraqi air force to do the real work:

Zaid Benjamin @zaidbenjamin Inherent Resolve Spx Steve Warren: Dealing with small pockets in #Beiji refinery. Iraqi air-force mounted 40 airstrikes & the coalition 4. Iraqi militia did the groundwork and the Iraqi air force covered the attack. The operation proceed under advice from Russia and Iran.The U.S. was not involved. It is no wonder then that "western" media are mostly silent about it.

According to Elijah J. Magnier the joint operations and intelligence sharing center that Russia has established in Baghdad with the Iraqis, Iranians, and top Hezbollah commanders is a few steps away from American diplomats and military officers. Small wonder then the 'butthurt' extends from the heavily fortified U.S. Embassy in Baghdad all the way back to the Pentagon and Foggy Bottom:

Baghdad is hosting a military intelligence operational room led by Iraqi and Iranian Generals, with the presence and coordination of a Russian General and his staff, as well as Syrian and Hezbollah officers. The aim of such a military operational room is to gather a bank of objectives and collect intelligence information on the organogram (?) and ISIS controlled area.

The source confirmed that the U.S was informed about the “Baghdad room” without necessary having any level of coordination. American diplomats and officers are within hundred meters from their once fiercest enemies (Iranian IRGC, Hezbollah) and now competing with Russia. It would be unlikely that the U.S would accept to see any success to these forces.

Now we have a better understanding as to why, instead of swallowing its pride and helping the Iraqis regardless of the Russian information operations center's support to them, the Obama Administration sent the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Marine Gen. Joseph Dunford, to tell the Iraqis: "if Russia helps you fight ISIS, we can't".

Setting aside what that CBS headline reveals about the main U.S. priorities in the Middle East, and how seriously America takes the war on the super-terrorist group, it isn't even clear if Abadi can knuckle under to Washington's will without being voted out by his own party back benchers (who of course, if we're honest, are likely on the Iranians payroll like many if not most Shi'a majority Iraqi politicians). RT has captured this montage quite hilariously in the short video clip below:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=POLlIj5cZ-I

If Washington continues to dig in as the Russia Analyst expects, despite Mr. Kerry's diplomatic initiatives, the Iraqis could double the humiliation for the Americans. As of this writing, we expect the Iraqi parliament to vote on inviting the Russians in to bomb ISIS before the end of November (the Thanksgiving recess of Congress would make for clever timing on the Persians and Iraqis part). The Russians and Iraqis have already agreed, according to pro-Assad/Iranian Shi'a news source Al-Masdar News, to some sort of 'hot pursuit' whereby Russian planes can bomb Daesh fighters right on or as they're crossing the (ignored by ISIS) border:

[embed]https://twitter.com/TheArabSource/status/657801077228613633[/embed]

The Chinese military will probably be invited in by an Iraqi parliamentary vote as well. Direct Chinese participation in the war on Daesh will most likely come from Iranian bases, via long range (or air to air refueled) J-11 fighters and H-6K bombers. It will also depend in no small part on what happens in the South China Sea over the next few weeks and the successes of the Syrian Army campaign this winter. On Friday we also thought the Chinese were waiting to see what the U.S. Navy would do in the South China Sea: would the Navy follow up on the anonymous brass boasting of sailing through the 12-mile territorial waters Beijing has unilaterally established around its man-made island bases?

[embed]https://twitter.com/Ian56789/status/657658579676213248[/embed]

Turns out, we didn't have to wait very long to get an answer: from the looks of things the U.S. Navy isn't going to be 'bowing up' to the Chinese any time soon, as the People's Liberation Army Navy says hello to its latest port call...in Florida.

Um, wait, what? A Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy type 52 destroyer of the class coming to Florida's Naval station Mayport the first week of November

[embed]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a7qXUai8Uks[/embed]

A Deep Breath Before the September Plunge: Putin's Mideast Calvalcade at MAKS2015, Yemen, Damascus and Donbass War Blues

Yesterday afternoon the Russia Analyst was driving to work when he noticed billowing smoke from a burning building off the interstate. On the radio, Billy Joel's "We Didn't Start the Fire" was playing. It seemed a fitting soundtrack for a curiously grim August day. Everything was familiar, yet strangely off. By now all RogueMoney readers have heard about the passing of the Guerrilla's friend and fellow New Yorker, Michael Rosecliff. Although we didn't know Mike well, we had bantered with him as the Russia Analyst online and listened to his radio appearances, with the exception of his brief but memorable appearance on the Hagmann and Hagmann Report.

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