W the Intelligence Insider...or Oswald Spengler on the Evolution of War?

The Russia Analyst just finished a brief late night phone conversation with 'W the Intelligence Insider' from somewhere in his missile silo in the great Northwest of the United States, and we came across this item at the always provocative Unz Review. Naturally, we decided to add our own 'soundtrack' and videos to highlight the text.

While we don't agree entirely with the thesis of Spengler's Decline of the West anymore than we do with Marx's Das Kapital, there is plenty to be gleaned from the book about the exhaustion we see across Western societies that Spengler foretold way back in 1922, after the First World War devastated Western civilization, of which we remain true fans.

Unfortunately whenever we see Atlanticists, globalists and NATO-nudniks pushing the term 'the West' in contrast with the age old image of backward and barbarous Russia or the supposed menace of China, we can only say 'you mean, the former West or post-Western nations'. Because to be 'Western' is to assume certain principals inherited from Classicial Antiquity AND Christianity that modern societies increasingly reject. Or as our friend the Carolina mountain man Wolf Gray said near the end of the April 22, 2016 Guerrilla Radio program, the biggest bubble in history that's about to burst might not be the fiat or debt bubbles we've seen around the world -- it may be the bubble of automatically assumed Western supremacy in all things. - JWS

Above: a slide from a 2008 presentation on the distinctions between 4th Generation Warfare, which defined conflicts from the Vietnam War to the 2000s, and the emerging era of 5th Generation Warfare that the Cold War 2 proxy wars in Ukraine and Syria are foretelling...
Below: a slide about the qualities of the successful leader from Sun Tzu's The Art of War

The future of the West is not a limitless tending upwards and onwards for all time towards our present ideals, but a single phenomenon of history, strictly limited and defined as to form and duration, which covers a few centuries and can be viewed and, in essentials, calculated from available precedents. With this enters the age of gigantic conflicts, in which we find ourselves today. It is the transition from Napoleonism to Caesarism, a general phase of evolution, which occupies at least two centuries and can be shown to exist in all Cultures.

The Chinese call it Shan-Kwo, the “period of the Contending States.” In the Gracchan revolution, which was already [133 B.C.] heralded by a first Servile War, the younger Scipio was secretly murdered and C. Gracchus openly slain – the first who as Princeps and the first who as Tribune were political centers in themselves amidst a world become formless. When, in 104 B.C. the urban masses of Rome for the first time lawlessly and tumultuously invested a private person, Marius, with Imperium, the deeper importance of the drama then enacted is comparable with that of assumption of the mythic Emperor-title by the ruler of Ch’in in 288 B.C..

The place of the permanent armies as we know them will gradually be taken by professional forces of volunteer war-keen soldiers; and from millions we shall revert to hundreds of thousands. But ipso facto this second century will be one of actually Contending States. These armies are not substitutes for war – they are for war, and they want war. Within two generations it will be they whose will prevails over all the comfortables put together. In these wars of theirs for the heritage of the whole world, continents will be staked – India, China, South Africa, Russia, Islam called out, new technics and tactics played and counter-played… The last race to keep its form, the last living tradition, the last leaders who have both at their back, will pass through and onward, victors.

The idealist of the early democracy regarded popular education as enlightenment pure and simple – but it is precisely this that smooths the path for the coming Caesars of the world. The last century [the 19th] was the winter of the West, the victory of materialism and scepticism, of socialism, parliamentarianism, and money. But in this century blood and instinct will regain their rights against the power of money and intellect. The era of individualism, liberalism and democracy, of humanitarianism and freedom, is nearing its end. The masses will accept with resignation the victory of the Caesars, the strong men, and will obey them. Life will descend to a level of general uniformity, a new kind of primitivism, and the world will be better for it…

— http://www.unz.com/akarlin/the-victory-of-the-caesars/

Above: Ruptly video taken still-photo of Chechen special forces after winning an international warrior competition, 2015 Below: a YouTube summary of Spengler's thesis in The Decline of the West (der Untergang des Abendlandes) published in 1922.