EU countdown to breakup? It's like September 1939 all over again

September 30, 1938.  British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain signs a secret accord with Germany to allow them control over parts of Czechoslovakia and appease Hitler while most of Britain, including Winston Churchill, oppose this.

February 19, 2016.  British Prime Minister David Cameron hails a secret agreement reached between the UK and the European Union for special status to justify voiding a Brexit despite the fact that London Mayor Boris Johnson and most of the British people oppose this.

September 1, 1939.  Hitler invades Poland after the East European country mobilizes its military two days prior.  But contrary to the simple belief that 'poor and weak' little Poland was invaded without cause by German forces, Poland and Germany had been deadly adversaries for centuries, with Polish teachings to their society espousing a hatred of Germans.

Many years before the differences between Germany and Poland escalated to the point of no return, numerous diplomatic efforts were made by the German government to defuse the ever more dangerous situation the two countries were facing. These efforts were all rejected by Poland. One of them comes to mind: on January 6th, 1939, the German Foreign Minister von Ribbentrop met with the Polish Foreign Minister Josef Beck in Munich to discuss the differences between the two countries. Von Ribbentrop proposed “the following solution: the return of Danzig to Germany. In return, all of Poland’s economic interests in this region would be guaranteed, and most generously at that. Germany would be given access to her province of East Prussia by means of an extraterritorial highway and rail line. In return, Germany would guarantee the Corridor and the entire Polish status, in other words, a final and permanent recognition of each nation’s borders.” Beck replied: “For the first time I am pessimistic...” Particularly in the matter of Danzig I see ‘no possibility of cooperation.’”


February 21, 2016.  A polish magazine publishes a satirical cover with Angela Merkel, Jean Claude-Juncker, and other Eurocrats depicted as Nazis who “want to supervise Poland again."

September 1939.  France bans Communist Party prior to World War II.

With the rise of Fascism this policy shifted after 1934, and the PCF supported the Popular Front, which came to power under Léon Blum in 1936. The party helped to secure French support for the Spanish Republicans during the Spanish Civil War, and opposed the 1938 Munich agreement with Hitler. During this period the PCF adopted a more patriotic image, and favoured an equal but distinct role for women in the communist movement.
The party was banned in 1939 on the outbreak of World War II.

— Wikipedia

February 21, 2016.  French President Francois Hollande declares that he will sanction any EU nation that has a right-wing government come to power, and suspend them from the coalition.

“French President Francois Hollande warned Friday that an EU member state could be sanctioned if the extreme-right came to power there — and could even be suspended from the bloc,” AFP reports.

”A country can be suspended from the European Union,” the President told France Inter radio.

“Human rights watchdog the Council of Europe last week expressed concern at legislative changes proposed by Poland’s new right-wing government that have been described both at home and abroad as unconstitutional and undemocratic,” AFP goes on to say, adding that “similar concerns have been expressed about Hungary’s right-wing Prime Minister Viktor Orban.”

”When the freedom of the media is in danger, when constitutions and human rights are under attack, Europe must not just be a safety net. It must put in place procedures to suspend (countries) — it can go that far,” Hollande said.

— Zerohedge

July 1936.  Civil war breaks out in Spain.

November 9, 2015.  The province of Catalonia votes to secede from Spain.

Do not these events of today sound eerily familiar to those nearly 75 years ago in Europe?

And yet at the core of this is an ongoing recession similar to that of the 1920's and 30's in Europe that led to massive upheavals, desires for isolationism, change in political power, and the preludes to global war.

Unlike the U.S., which welcomed a melting pot of people's and cultures, Europe will always be nationalist at its core.  And while the experiment known as the European Union has been relatively successful in forging a coalition of differing economies, people's, and national goals, in the end, like the myriad of treaties and promises made at Versailles, and by the weak League of Nations, when environments get difficult, everyone will fall back to protect their own national interests, just as we are seeing right now on the European continent.